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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 10.3 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +25.8 150.0 91% 72–88 ✓
Oakland @ Cleveland State +3.3 142.5 71% 67–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Maryland +25.6 131.5 91% 53–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Long Island University -9.6 150.1 17% 86–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech +12.9 143.6 86% 60–96 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ UTSA +1.5 154.8 65% 89–103 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +1.3 157.8 66% 91–75 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech +0.5 150.5 56% 81–75 ✗
USC @ Oregon +4.1 149.3 77% 74–82 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.5 140.7 48% 62–76 ✗
Montana @ Weber State +4.2 133.5 68% 63–93 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State +0.6 135.7 52% 74–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho +4.7 140.6 74% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +0.7 143.7 57% 57–91 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon State -1.7 133.9 39% 69–62 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -4.0 140.6 33% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +8.2 136.8 81% 64–76 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton -1.8 143.6 38% 81–71 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +12.3 139.4 86% 66–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis -1.1 136.4 41% 55–67 ✗
Wright State @ Green Bay -3.2 147.9 44% 77–88 ✗
Rider @ Penn State +14.1 150.2 87% 63–90 ✓
Valparaiso @ Elon +3.8 142.6 64% 78–82 ✓
North Florida @ Miami +20.0 150.7 89% 55–95 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Indiana +9.5 160.0 84% 87–100 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +1.6 141.8 55% 65–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.