Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | STBK -145 BRWN +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -4.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -1.6 (+2.4) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -4.4 (-0.4) | 142.4 (-8.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -4.4 (-0.4) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -4.5 (-0.5) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | STBK 80 – 70 BRWN |
| Nov 27, 2024 | BRWN 77 – 54 STBK |
| Nov 18, 2022 | BRWN 64 – 53 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#262) | -5.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#224) | -1.83 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#180) | -1.86 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#228) | 0.405 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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