Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -380 STBK +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +23 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -13.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -10.1 (+12.9) | 140.3 (-9.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -11.9 (+11.1) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -11.8 (+11.2) | 144.1 (-13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -14.4 (+8.6) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | STBK 80 – 70 BRWN |
| Dec 29, 2023 | STBK 69 – 65 BRWN |
| Nov 18, 2022 | BRWN 64 – 53 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#230) | -10.5 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#304) | -0.54 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#304) | -2.93 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.335 (#351) | 0.523 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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