Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -250 STBK +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -16.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -10.4 (+0.6) | 130.5 (-13.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -10.1 (+0.9) | 135.8 (-18.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -10.1 (+0.9) | 137.4 (-20.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -9.5 (+1.5) | 134.1 (-17.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | STBK 80 – 70 BRWN |
| Nov 27, 2024 | BRWN 77 – 54 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2023 | STBK 69 – 65 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#250) | -11.5 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#344) | -2.04 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#336) | -3.52 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.208 (#350) | 0.167 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 19.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 14.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 82.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.