Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -175 BRWN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -20.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -14.5 (-4.5) | 136.5 (+13.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -10.3 (-0.3) | 135.4 (+14.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -14.6 (-4.6) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -14.1 (-4.1) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | BRWN 77 – 54 STBK |
| Dec 29, 2023 | STBK 69 – 65 BRWN |
| Nov 18, 2022 | BRWN 64 – 53 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#97) | -8.8 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#194) | -3.00 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#187) | -4.24 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#241) | 0.286 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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