Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +16 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | OU -32.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -28.0 (-12.0) | 148.0 (+12.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -27.7 (-11.7) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -24.0 (-8.0) | 147.2 (+12.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -25.8 (-9.8) | 150.0 (+10.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | OU 89 – 66 CARK |
| Dec 17, 2022 | OU 87 – 66 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 80.3 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#19) | -13.9 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#27) | -2.90 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#25) | -3.63 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#43) | 0.339 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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