Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Lloyd Noble Center · December 22, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OU -26.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money OU -100000 / CARK +4000
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +23 155 Won
Massey OU -27.8 (-4.8)
Massey Totals 150.2 (+4.8)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML OU -25.7 (-2.7) 150.8 (+4.2) 91%
Baseline ML OU -25.7 (-2.7) 150.0 (+5.0) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -22.9 (+0.1) 150.2 (+4.8) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML OU -24.4 (-1.4) 151.9 (+3.1) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 29, 2023 OU 8872 CARK
Dec 17, 2022 OU 8766 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU CARK
Overall 20-14 9-24
Conference 6-12 4-14
Home 12-5 7-7
Away 2-7 1-16
Neutral 6-2 1-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.3 68.5
Avg Pts Against 74.6 79.4
Massey 11.4 (#48) -12.2 (#345)
Bradley-Terry 4.05 (#5) -2.32 (#336)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.47 (#6) -2.79 (#332)
RPI 0.612 (#33) 0.379 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors OU CARK
FG% 47.8% 37.3%
3PT% 37.4% 27.5%
REB / G 33.6 34.9
OREB / G 9.9 10.9
AST / TO 1.30 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.3% 44.1%
TOV% 16.5% 17.4%
ORB% 31.0% 27.0%
FT Rate 29.2% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 56.4%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 19.3%
DRB% 66.9% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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