Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OU -3300 CARK +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | OU -21.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -19.5 (+1.5) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -18.7 (+2.3) | 148.3 (+4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -17.7 (+3.3) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -21.0 (+0.0) | 144.9 (+8.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | OU 89 – 66 CARK |
| Dec 29, 2023 | OU 88 – 72 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 82.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#58) | -7.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#64) | -0.32 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#49) | -0.58 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#62) | 0.441 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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