Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +22 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MD -27.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -25.6 (-3.6) | 131.5 (-3.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -23.2 (-1.2) | 130.2 (-2.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -25.6 (-3.6) | 129.9 (-1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -26.0 (-4.0) | 131.7 (-3.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2025 | MD 83 – 61 COPP |
| Nov 25, 2022 | MD 95 – 79 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 1-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#86) | -17.0 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#158) | -3.58 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#163) | -4.35 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#162) | 0.355 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 60.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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