Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MIA -2000 UNF +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +40 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -21.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -20.0 (+20.0) | 150.7 (-0.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -20.8 (+19.2) | 151.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -24.7 (+15.3) | 151.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -24.1 (+15.9) | 151.6 (-1.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | MIA 105 – 67 UNF |
| Nov 29, 2020 | MIA 77 – 59 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#60) | -8.1 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#40) | -1.80 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#57) | -2.58 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#35) | 0.398 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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