This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Big Sky Conference · ICCU Arena · December 29, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -2.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money IDHO -138 / SAC +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual IDHO +3 119 Won
Massey IDHO -8.7 (-5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 141.9 (-22.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IDHO -4.7 (-1.7) 140.6 (-21.6) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IDHO -6.3 (-3.3) 141.1 (-22.1) 75% ✓
Baseline ML IDHO -6.0 (-3.0) 140.6 (-21.6) 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -7.3 (-4.3) 138.6 (-19.6) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 68 – 45 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 86 – 80 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 86 – 76 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 78 – 76 SAC
Jan 10, 2025 IDHO 80 – 67 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO SAC
Overall 11-21 10-24
Conference 5-13 4-14
Home 6-10 6-8
Away 4-10 2-13
Neutral 1-1 2-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.2 64.2
Avg Pts Against 72.8 71.3
Massey -5.4 (#263) -9.7 (#324)
Bradley-Terry -0.66 (#245) -2.13 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#258) -2.50 (#319)
RPI 0.443 (#274) 0.399 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO SAC
FG% 42.5% 39.6%
3PT% 32.4% 30.4%
REB / G 30.6 36.4
OREB / G 7.5 11.7
AST / TO 1.13 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 47.5%
TOV% 15.7% 25.2%
ORB% 21.7% 33.2%
FT Rate 19.6% 24.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 14.0%
DRB% 69.8% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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