Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · December 29, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread IU -10.0 Home covered
O/U 163.0 Over
Money IU -600 / KENN +430
Model Predictions
Spread Total IU win
Actual IU +13 187 Won
Massey IU -9.5 (+3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 164.8 (+22.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IU -9.5 (+3.5) 160.0 (+27.0) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IU -8.0 (+5.0) 159.9 (+27.1) 79% ✓
Baseline ML IU -8.4 (+4.6) 162.1 (+24.9) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IU -8.6 (+4.4) 161.2 (+25.8) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 24, 2022 IU 69 – 55 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IU KENN
Overall 19-14 15-16
Conference 10-10 6-10
Home 12-5 9-5
Away 4-6 4-11
Neutral 3-3 2-0
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.3 81.5
Avg Pts Against 74.3 83.7
Massey 2.8 (#126) -2.3 (#212)
Bradley-Terry 1.91 (#44) 0.26 (#161)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.23 (#60) 0.15 (#176)
RPI 0.587 (#47) 0.483 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors IU KENN
FG% 48.3% 43.4%
3PT% 30.6% 30.4%
REB / G 35.3 37.4
OREB / G 8.9 12.7
AST / TO 1.24 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 49.8%
TOV% 17.0% 15.7%
ORB% 27.7% 30.2%
FT Rate 30.6% 27.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 20.4%
DRB% 71.2% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 33.8%

Game Analysis

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