Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IU -2500 KENN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | IU -19.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -18.1 (-4.1) | 139.7 (-15.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -15.4 (-1.4) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -16.2 (-2.2) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -17.2 (-3.2) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2023 | IU 100 – 87 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#17) | -1.4 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#37) | 0.58 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#44) | 0.32 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#75) | 0.519 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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