Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | CLE -125 OAK +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -1.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.3 (+4.7) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.3 (+5.7) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.8 (+6.2) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.7 (+6.3) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#172) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#132) | 0.62 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#140) | 1.04 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.559 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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