Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · December 29, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -2.0 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Under
Money IUIN +118 / DETM -140
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual IUIN +12 122 Won
Massey DETM -0.4 (+12.4) — —
Massey Totals — 138.1 (-16.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IUIN -0.9 (+11.1) 136.6 (-14.6) 48% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -1.1 (+13.1) 136.4 (-14.4) 41% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML IUIN -0.6 (+11.4) 137.5 (-15.5) 49% ✗
Baseline ML IUIN -0.5 (+11.5) 140.2 (-18.2) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 DETM 80 – 77 IUIN
Dec 4, 2025 DETM 92 – 78 IUIN
Feb 20, 2025 IUIN 80 – 71 DETM
Jan 9, 2025 IUIN 95 – 61 DETM
Feb 15, 2024 DETM 81 – 66 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN DETM
Overall 6-26 1-31
Conference 2-18 1-19
Home 4-10 1-11
Away 2-13 0-20
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L12 L5
Avg Pts For 64.5 66.0
Avg Pts Against 81.2 80.2
Massey -17.3 (#360) -12.4 (#343)
Bradley-Terry -3.18 (#352) -3.48 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.13 (#349) -4.55 (#354)
RPI 0.348 (#357) 0.398 (#331)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN DETM
FG% 42.9% 40.0%
3PT% 22.2% 26.2%
REB / G 29.6 30.9
OREB / G 9.8 9.5
AST / TO 0.64 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 44.7%
TOV% 20.9% 20.1%
ORB% 29.0% 26.6%
FT Rate 24.8% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.3% 55.7%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.8%
DRB% 65.3% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.6% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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