Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN -240 DETM +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +34 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IUIN -3.0 (+31.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IUIN -1.1 (+32.9) | 140.3 (+15.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -2.8 (+31.2) | 141.1 (+14.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -0.5 (+33.5) | 137.8 (+18.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -0.1 (+33.9) | 138.6 (+17.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DETM 80 – 77 IUIN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | DETM 92 – 78 IUIN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | IUIN 80 – 71 DETM |
| Feb 15, 2024 | DETM 81 – 66 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2023 | IUIN 67 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#315) | -8.0 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#343) | -0.78 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#344) | -1.41 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#351) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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