Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 180.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -170 IUIN +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +14 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -3.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 192.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -4.2 (+9.8) | 159.7 (+10.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -2.9 (+11.1) | 160.9 (+9.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -1.6 (+12.4) | 160.4 (+9.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.7 (+12.3) | 157.3 (+12.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DETM 80 – 77 IUIN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | IUIN 80 – 71 DETM |
| Jan 9, 2025 | IUIN 95 – 61 DETM |
| Feb 15, 2024 | DETM 81 – 66 IUIN |
| Dec 29, 2023 | IUIN 67 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#315) | -8.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#286) | -0.95 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#282) | -1.25 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#246) | 0.424 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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