Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -225 IUIN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -5.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -3.4 (+11.6) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -2.4 (+12.6) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -3.3 (+11.7) | 141.3 (+5.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -3.0 (+12.0) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DETM 80 – 77 IUIN |
| Dec 4, 2025 | DETM 92 – 78 IUIN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | IUIN 80 – 71 DETM |
| Jan 9, 2025 | IUIN 95 – 61 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2023 | IUIN 67 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-31 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 2-18 |
| Home | 1-11 | 4-10 |
| Away | 0-20 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#355) | -18.0 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.74 (#362) | -3.06 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.10 (#362) | -3.76 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#358) | 0.371 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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