Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money DETM -225 / IUIN +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +15 147 Won
Massey DETM -5.7 (+9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 140.3 (+6.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 26% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DETM -3.0 (+12.0) 139.4 (+7.6) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -3.4 (+11.6) 138.5 (+8.5) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -2.4 (+12.6) 138.2 (+8.8) 58% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -3.3 (+11.7) 141.3 (+5.7) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 DETM 80 – 77 IUIN
Dec 4, 2025 DETM 92 – 78 IUIN
Feb 20, 2025 IUIN 80 – 71 DETM
Jan 9, 2025 IUIN 95 – 61 DETM
Dec 29, 2023 IUIN 67 – 55 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM IUIN
Overall 1-31 6-26
Conference 1-19 2-18
Home 1-11 4-10
Away 0-20 2-13
Neutral 0-0 0-3
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L5 L12
Avg Pts For 66.0 64.5
Avg Pts Against 80.2 81.2
Massey -15.7 (#355) -18.0 (#361)
Bradley-Terry -4.74 (#362) -3.06 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.10 (#362) -3.76 (#356)
RPI 0.368 (#358) 0.371 (#357)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM IUIN
FG% 41.0% 43.3%
3PT% 27.2% 24.4%
REB / G 29.6 30.1
OREB / G 9.2 9.9
AST / TO 0.77 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 46.2%
TOV% 19.3% 20.8%
ORB% 26.0% 30.2%
FT Rate 20.9% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.6% 57.7%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 17.7%
DRB% 63.4% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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