Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | LIU +360 UALB -480 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +17 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -11.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -9.6 (-7.4) | 150.1 (+4.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -9.7 (-7.3) | 147.5 (+7.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -10.1 (-6.9) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -10.5 (-6.5) | 149.8 (+5.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | UALB 76 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#349) | -2.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#337) | -0.12 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#329) | -0.47 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#348) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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