Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -350 LIU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +17 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -12.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -8.3 (+8.7) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -9.9 (+7.1) | 146.3 (-11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -10.4 (+6.6) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -10.6 (+6.4) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2023 | UALB 86 – 69 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 1-15 |
| Home | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 2-16 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#335) | -18.0 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#320) | -3.35 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#320) | -5.30 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#286) | 0.448 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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