Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +180 PRIN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -4.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -3.7 (+1.7) | 139.8 (+26.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -2.5 (+0.5) | 143.9 (+22.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -2.2 (+0.2) | 143.9 (+22.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -1.6 (-0.4) | 136.6 (+29.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | DEL 76 – 69 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#132) | 11.6 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#154) | 3.26 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#124) | 4.17 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#177) | 0.645 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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