Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -275 DEL +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -15.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -10.6 (-17.6) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -14.5 (-21.5) | 142.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -14.5 (-21.5) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -14.5 (-21.5) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | PRIN 84 – 82 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#64) | -2.8 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#101) | -0.18 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#94) | -0.14 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#140) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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