And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Summit League · Swinney Center · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money KC +210 / ORU -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total KC win
Actual KC +17 137 Won
Massey ORU -1.1 (+18.1) — —
Massey Totals — 149.5 (-12.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -1.4 (+18.4) 142.2 (-5.2) 51% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KC -0.1 (+16.9) 144.5 (-7.5) 50% ✗
Baseline ML ORU -0.4 (+17.4) 145.9 (-8.9) 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -0.9 (+17.9) 145.3 (-8.3) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 84 – 62 KC
Mar 1, 2026 ORU 94 – 70 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 69 – 60 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 73 – 56 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 73 – 67 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KC ORU
Overall 16-16 12-19
Conference 10-6 5-11
Home 10-3 9-5
Away 6-9 2-13
Neutral 0-4 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.6 72.1
Avg Pts Against 71.4 77.0
Massey -6.3 (#280) -0.7 (#179)
Bradley-Terry -1.74 (#307) -0.82 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.15 (#305) -1.02 (#259)
RPI 0.447 (#270) 0.474 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors KC ORU
FG% 40.4% 42.4%
3PT% 33.7% 37.1%
REB / G 37.3 32.5
OREB / G 12.5 7.4
AST / TO 0.85 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 50.7%
TOV% 20.9% 14.0%
ORB% 34.2% 20.7%
FT Rate 18.9% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 15.0%
DRB% 73.8% 61.8%
Opp FT Rate 33.7% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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