Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.0 Over |
| Money | IOWA -2000 NIU +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +29 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -16.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -16.3 (+12.7) | 164.8 (+12.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -14.0 (+15.0) | 161.3 (+15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -14.3 (+14.7) | 162.5 (+14.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -14.8 (+14.2) | 164.9 (+12.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2020 | IOWA 106 – 53 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#46) | -1.1 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | 0.48 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#116) | 0.50 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#125) | 0.543 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.