Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | VAN -1100 DART +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +16 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -8.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -9.1 (+6.9) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -4.6 (+11.4) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -5.4 (+10.6) | 130.9 (-8.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -5.4 (+10.6) | 131.3 (-9.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#269) | -9.7 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#285) | -1.40 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#282) | -1.67 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#263) | 0.394 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.