They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Littlejohn Coliseum · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -15.0 Home covered
O/U 140.0 Over
Money CLEM -1400 / RAD +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +35 151 Won
Massey CLEM -16.8 (+18.2)
Massey Totals 140.4 (+10.6)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -15.4 (+19.6) 142.7 (+8.3) 87%
Baseline ML CLEM -15.1 (+19.9) 142.2 (+8.8) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -14.6 (+20.4) 142.3 (+8.7) 88%
Efficiency Plus ML CLEM -13.9 (+21.1) 143.2 (+7.8) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 22, 2024 CLEM 7951 RAD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM RAD
Overall 24-12 16-17
Conference 11-9 5-11
Home 12-4 8-5
Away 6-6 4-12
Neutral 6-2 4-0
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.4 70.7
Avg Pts Against 71.2 72.9
Massey 13.6 (#23) 1.3 (#145)
Bradley-Terry 4.04 (#3) 1.02 (#95)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.47 (#3) 1.24 (#103)
RPI 0.694 (#2) 0.532 (#123)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM RAD
FG% 49.0% 43.7%
3PT% 39.4% 36.7%
REB / G 38.5 37.1
OREB / G 9.4 11.3
AST / TO 1.73 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.7% 50.4%
TOV% 14.8% 17.1%
ORB% 28.0% 32.5%
FT Rate 20.4% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 15.5%
DRB% 74.4% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.6% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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