Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | NEB -10000 SCST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +29 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -24.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -21.0 (+8.0) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -20.3 (+8.7) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -21.4 (+7.6) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -22.6 (+6.4) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 18-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#68) | -12.0 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#53) | -2.22 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#64) | -3.38 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#34) | 0.402 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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