Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -163 RMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -2.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -2.0 (+1.0) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.7 (+0.3) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -2.4 (+0.6) | 151.2 (+1.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.9 (+1.1) | 150.5 (+2.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | RMU 88 – 76 MILW |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MILW 74 – 72 RMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RMU 72 – 59 MILW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RMU 81 – 79 MILW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RMU 71 – 60 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#301) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#269) | -1.84 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#299) | -2.45 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#267) | 0.418 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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