Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -450 RMU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -8.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.7 (-7.7) | 143.8 (+16.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -6.3 (-8.3) | 142.4 (+17.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -5.9 (-7.9) | 142.6 (+17.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -6.1 (-8.1) | 142.2 (+17.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | RMU 88 – 76 MILW |
| Dec 7, 2025 | MILW 74 – 72 RMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RMU 72 – 59 MILW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RMU 71 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MILW 78 – 75 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#134) | -2.7 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#110) | 0.01 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#109) | -0.15 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#80) | 0.492 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 40.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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