And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money RMU -120 / MILW +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +13 131 Won
Massey RMU -0.7 (+12.3) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-19.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -1.2 (+11.8) 146.6 (-15.6) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -0.3 (+12.7) 144.6 (-13.6) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -2.1 (+10.9) 147.9 (-16.9) 62% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -1.3 (+11.7) 148.8 (-17.8) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 RMU 88 – 76 MILW
Dec 7, 2025 MILW 74 – 72 RMU
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 81 – 79 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 71 – 60 MILW
Dec 30, 2023 MILW 78 – 75 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MILW
Overall 26-9 21-11
Conference 15-5 14-6
Home 16-2 13-3
Away 8-6 7-8
Neutral 2-1 1-0
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 76.7
Avg Pts Against 71.6 72.5
Massey -0.1 (#163) 2.4 (#121)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#126) 0.48 (#133)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#145) 0.75 (#112)
RPI 0.523 (#132) 0.545 (#94)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MILW
FG% 44.3% 46.8%
3PT% 33.7% 32.9%
REB / G 36.6 39.6
OREB / G 12.1 14.4
AST / TO 1.15 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 51.8%
TOV% 18.6% 20.1%
ORB% 34.2% 41.3%
FT Rate 28.1% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 17.2%
DRB% 71.5% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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