He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money RMU -120 / MILW +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +13 131 Won
Massey RMU -0.7 (+12.3)
Massey Totals 150.5 (-19.5)
Bradley-Terry 64%
Weighted B-T 57%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -0.3 (+12.7) 144.6 (-13.6) 58%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -2.1 (+10.9) 147.9 (-16.9) 62%
Baseline ML RMU -1.3 (+11.7) 148.8 (-17.8) 65%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -1.2 (+11.8) 146.6 (-15.6) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 RMU 8876 MILW
Dec 7, 2025 MILW 7472 RMU
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 8179 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 7160 MILW
Dec 30, 2023 MILW 7875 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MILW
Overall 26-9 21-11
Conference 15-5 14-6
Home 16-2 13-3
Away 8-6 7-8
Neutral 2-1 1-0
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 76.7
Avg Pts Against 71.6 72.5
Massey -0.1 (#163) 2.4 (#121)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#126) 0.48 (#133)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#145) 0.75 (#112)
RPI 0.523 (#132) 0.545 (#94)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MILW
FG% 44.3% 46.8%
3PT% 33.7% 32.9%
REB / G 36.6 39.6
OREB / G 12.1 14.4
AST / TO 1.15 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 51.8%
TOV% 18.6% 20.1%
ORB% 34.2% 41.3%
FT Rate 28.1% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 17.2%
DRB% 71.5% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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