Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -230 MILW +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -5.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -5.3 (+6.7) | 149.7 (+14.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -4.1 (+7.9) | 145.3 (+18.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -4.7 (+7.3) | 149.1 (+14.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -4.7 (+7.3) | 150.0 (+14.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | MILW 74 – 72 RMU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RMU 72 – 59 MILW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RMU 81 – 79 MILW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RMU 71 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2023 | MILW 78 – 75 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#201) | -4.7 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#178) | -0.65 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#175) | -1.01 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#197) | 0.467 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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