I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 23, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money RMU -230 / MILW +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +12 164 Won
Massey RMU -5.4 (+6.6)
Massey Totals 154.0 (+10.0)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -4.1 (+7.9) 145.3 (+18.7) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.7 (+7.3) 149.1 (+14.9) 71%
Baseline ML RMU -4.7 (+7.3) 150.0 (+14.0) 73%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -5.3 (+6.7) 149.7 (+14.3) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 MILW 7472 RMU
Feb 23, 2025 RMU 7259 MILW
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 8179 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 7160 MILW
Dec 30, 2023 MILW 7875 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MILW
Overall 22-11 12-20
Conference 13-7 8-12
Home 14-3 9-6
Away 8-7 3-14
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 74.7
Avg Pts Against 73.4 79.9
Massey -2.6 (#201) -4.7 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -0.06 (#178) -0.65 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#175) -1.01 (#236)
RPI 0.491 (#197) 0.467 (#233)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MILW
FG% 45.7% 43.2%
3PT% 36.3% 31.8%
REB / G 36.9 36.9
OREB / G 13.3 13.5
AST / TO 1.32 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 49.2%
TOV% 18.8% 15.3%
ORB% 38.0% 34.8%
FT Rate 21.6% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 15.1%
DRB% 69.7% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 37.3% 26.4%

Game Analysis

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