I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · December 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -4.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money MILW -218 / RMU +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual MILW +2 146 Won
Massey MILW -1.9 (+0.1)
Massey Totals 161.1 (-15.1)
Bradley-Terry 33%
Weighted B-T 14%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -0.5 (+2.5) 149.1 (-3.1) 52%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -0.5 (+2.5) 148.2 (-2.2) 49%
Baseline ML RMU -0.3 (+2.3) 150.7 (-4.7) 45%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.0 (+2.0) 147.8 (-1.8) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 RMU 8876 MILW
Feb 23, 2025 RMU 7259 MILW
Jan 19, 2025 RMU 8179 MILW
Feb 10, 2024 RMU 7160 MILW
Dec 30, 2023 MILW 7875 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW RMU
Overall 12-20 22-11
Conference 8-12 13-7
Home 9-6 14-3
Away 3-14 8-7
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 76.8
Avg Pts Against 79.9 73.4
Massey -4.0 (#235) -1.3 (#187)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#242) 1.00 (#106)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.25 (#250) 1.65 (#95)
RPI 0.458 (#247) 0.545 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW RMU
FG% 42.8% 45.6%
3PT% 33.7% 35.7%
REB / G 34.7 37.5
OREB / G 12.9 14.0
AST / TO 1.14 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 52.9%
TOV% 15.7% 20.2%
ORB% 32.4% 39.3%
FT Rate 21.3% 14.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.4% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.6%
DRB% 64.6% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.6% 38.3%

Game Analysis

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