Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -278 CHST +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -5.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -5.2 (+6.8) | 131.8 (-3.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -3.9 (+8.1) | 133.2 (-5.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -3.8 (+8.2) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -4.3 (+7.7) | 133.1 (-5.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | DEP 92 – 62 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 0-0 |
| Home | 3-15 | 6-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#286) | -8.0 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#298) | -1.29 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#287) | -2.26 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#226) | 0.431 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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