Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AKR +110 SBU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -4.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -2.4 (+1.4) | 136.2 (-13.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -3.5 (+2.5) | 140.8 (-17.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -2.8 (+1.8) | 142.3 (-19.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -2.7 (+1.7) | 138.3 (-15.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2020 | SBU 81 – 74 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#126) | 7.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#91) | 0.60 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#95) | 0.69 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#87) | 0.529 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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