Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -250 HOW +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -6.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -4.7 (-9.7) | 154.1 (-17.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -6.2 (-11.2) | 155.3 (-18.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -7.1 (-12.1) | 156.5 (-19.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -7.2 (-12.2) | 156.8 (-19.8) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2022 | LAS 80 – 76 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#195) | -3.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#103) | -1.38 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#135) | -1.37 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.424 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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