Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +175 PRST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -0.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.3 (-3.7) | 136.9 (+12.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.0 (-5.0) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -0.3 (-4.7) | 138.5 (+10.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -0.1 (-4.9) | 138.3 (+10.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRST 77 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRST 69 – 66 IDHO |
| Mar 11, 2025 | IDHO 80 – 70 PRST |
| Feb 7, 2025 | PRST 76 – 69 IDHO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRST 75 – 63 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#268) | -0.4 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#241) | 0.96 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#252) | 0.85 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#275) | 0.555 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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