Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -300 LEH +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -11.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -11.2 (-18.2) | 133.6 (-10.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MRST -8.2 (-15.2) | 129.7 (-6.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MRST -11.6 (-18.6) | 131.1 (-8.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -12.3 (-19.3) | 130.6 (-7.6) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | MRST 78 – 55 LEH |
| Dec 1, 2024 | LEH 74 – 69 MRST |
| Nov 17, 2022 | LEH 64 – 54 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#141) | -5.4 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#131) | -4.41 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#159) | -5.64 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#179) | 0.393 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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