Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -120 MRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -2.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.0 (+4.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LEH -0.6 (+4.4) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LEH -1.2 (+3.8) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.4 (+3.6) | 147.4 (-4.4) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | MRST 78 – 55 LEH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | LEH 65 – 58 MRST |
| Nov 17, 2022 | LEH 64 – 54 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 20-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#313) | -5.0 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#302) | 0.17 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#302) | -0.47 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#250) | 0.487 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 25.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 17.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 58.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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