Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | NAVY -145 W&M +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -8.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -5.3 (+6.7) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -5.8 (+6.2) | 141.0 (+1.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -5.9 (+6.1) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -6.6 (+5.4) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | W&M 82 – 76 NAVY |
| Nov 8, 2022 | NAVY 74 – 59 W&M |
| Dec 2, 2021 | NAVY 75 – 56 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#242) | -7.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#340) | -1.92 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#333) | -2.49 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#347) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.