Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | COR -200 COLG +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | COR -7.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -6.4 (+6.6) | 145.9 (-4.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -7.2 (+5.8) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -8.1 (+4.9) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -7.3 (+5.7) | 146.4 (-5.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | COR 95 – 94 COLG |
| Dec 5, 2024 | COR 84 – 57 COLG |
| Dec 22, 2022 | COR 91 – 80 COLG |
| Nov 17, 2021 | COR 78 – 68 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#104) | 1.3 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#45) | 0.53 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#59) | 0.36 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#97) | 0.527 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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