Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | COLG +130 COR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +27 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -2.2 (-29.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -1.2 (-28.2) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.4 (-29.4) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -2.4 (-29.4) | 145.0 (-4.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -2.9 (-29.9) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | COR 95 – 94 COLG |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COR 77 – 64 COLG |
| Dec 22, 2022 | COR 91 – 80 COLG |
| Nov 17, 2021 | COR 78 – 68 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#273) | -3.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#287) | -0.31 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#270) | -0.88 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#302) | 0.509 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 8.6% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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