Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -188 COR +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +11 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -3.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -1.8 (-12.8) | 157.7 (+13.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.4 (-13.4) | 159.8 (+11.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -1.4 (-12.4) | 160.2 (+10.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -1.0 (-12.0) | 157.7 (+13.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | COR 95 – 94 COLG |
| Dec 5, 2024 | COR 84 – 57 COLG |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COR 77 – 64 COLG |
| Nov 17, 2021 | COR 78 – 68 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#146) | 2.8 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#208) | 0.70 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#164) | 0.95 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#217) | 0.521 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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