Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | COR +400 COLG -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | COR -19.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -8.0 (+2.0) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -12.2 (-2.2) | 146.6 (-0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -11.9 (-1.9) | 147.4 (-1.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -10.6 (-0.6) | 146.2 (-0.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | COR 95 – 94 COLG |
| Dec 5, 2024 | COR 84 – 57 COLG |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COR 77 – 64 COLG |
| Dec 22, 2022 | COR 91 – 80 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#31) | 0.2 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#1) | -0.06 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.13 (#1) | -0.03 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#49) | 0.438 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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