Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | COR -240 COLG +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +1 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | COR -3.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -4.0 (-3.0) | 153.0 (+36.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -4.0 (-3.0) | 153.4 (+35.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -4.1 (-3.1) | 150.4 (+38.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -4.5 (-3.5) | 152.9 (+36.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | COR 84 – 57 COLG |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COR 77 – 64 COLG |
| Dec 22, 2022 | COR 91 – 80 COLG |
| Nov 17, 2021 | COR 78 – 68 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#184) | 2.4 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#213) | -0.11 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#242) | 0.52 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#276) | 0.549 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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