What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Colonial Life Arena · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SC -23.0 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money SC -10000 / FAMU +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +32 156 Won
Massey SC -22.0 (+10.0) — —
Massey Totals — 129.3 (+26.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -17.9 (+14.1) 135.3 (+20.7) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -17.9 (+14.1) 132.7 (+23.3) 90% ✓
Baseline ML SC -20.3 (+11.7) 132.4 (+23.6) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -18.8 (+13.2) 133.3 (+22.7) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 2, 2021 SC 78 – 71 FAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC FAMU
Overall 26-8 6-23
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 14-3 4-8
Away 8-3 2-15
Neutral 4-2 0-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 72.1 65.0
Avg Pts Against 67.6 76.7
Massey 7.4 (#71) -10.2 (#328)
Bradley-Terry 3.81 (#5) -0.63 (#247)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.24 (#4) -0.71 (#241)
RPI 0.628 (#17) 0.522 (#139)
Shooting & Four Factors SC FAMU
FG% 44.7% 38.1%
3PT% 34.9% 31.1%
REB / G 36.5 30.8
OREB / G 11.4 8.2
AST / TO 1.56 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 42.2%
TOV% 14.7% 21.1%
ORB% 32.9% 21.8%
FT Rate 22.3% 15.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 56.8%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.3%
DRB% 74.1% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 31.7%

Game Analysis

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