Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | SC -2800 FAMU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SC -12.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -9.8 (-2.8) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -9.8 (-2.8) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -10.9 (-3.9) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -9.4 (-2.4) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | SC 94 – 62 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#98) | -4.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#121) | -0.24 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#117) | -0.52 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#90) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 26.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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