Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -400 EIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -7.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.0 (+3.0) | 131.2 (-6.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.8 (+3.2) | 135.2 (-10.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.8 (+3.2) | 135.6 (-10.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.9 (+3.1) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#253) | -7.9 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#207) | -2.77 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#236) | -3.62 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#240) | 0.417 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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