We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Oregon Ducks
64 – 59
FINAL Conference
UCLA Bruins
Pac-12 Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -7.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money ORE -320 / UCLA +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual ORE +5 123 Won
Massey ORE -9.2 (-4.2) — —
Massey Totals — 137.7 (-14.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORE -7.0 (-2.0) 136.4 (-13.4) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -8.5 (-3.5) 137.6 (-14.6) 80% ✓
Baseline ML ORE -8.4 (-3.4) 137.3 (-14.3) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORE -8.5 (-3.5) 139.7 (-16.7) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 UCLA 73 – 57 ORE
Dec 6, 2025 UCLA 74 – 63 ORE
Jan 31, 2025 UCLA 78 – 52 ORE
Dec 8, 2024 UCLA 73 – 71 ORE
Mar 14, 2024 ORE 68 – 66 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE UCLA
Overall 24-12 16-17
Conference 12-8 10-10
Home 13-3 9-7
Away 6-5 5-6
Neutral 5-4 1-4
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 65.7
Avg Pts Against 72.3 66.0
Massey 8.1 (#66) 3.3 (#117)
Bradley-Terry 1.42 (#73) -0.48 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#70) -0.60 (#231)
RPI 0.593 (#41) 0.473 (#228)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE UCLA
FG% 46.9% 41.5%
3PT% 34.7% 31.2%
REB / G 36.6 34.8
OREB / G 10.3 10.9
AST / TO 1.28 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 45.6%
TOV% 15.5% 16.5%
ORB% 29.3% 31.9%
FT Rate 26.7% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 19.5%
DRB% 73.8% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 26.4%

Game Analysis

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