Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UTU -125 FIU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +4 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -6.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -6.0 (-2.0) | 146.7 (+41.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -5.1 (-1.1) | 144.3 (+43.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -5.5 (-1.5) | 146.3 (+41.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -6.0 (-2.0) | 146.3 (+41.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2024 | FIU 80 – 66 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#246) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#189) | -1.70 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#189) | -1.99 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#152) | 0.420 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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