Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -240 UTU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -7.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -5.1 (+8.9) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -3.8 (+10.2) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -5.3 (+8.7) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -5.0 (+9.0) | 142.4 (+3.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | UTU 96 – 92 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 2-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 1-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#245) | -7.1 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#318) | -1.73 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#314) | -2.19 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#341) | 0.424 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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